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© 2008 TheIndiaStreet.com

The emergence of one asset class
during this economic crisis has been a surprise to many. One would have
normally expected a commodity like Gold or Silver to do well. Even Crude would
have been a safe gamble to make when the global economy is on the brink of a
recession. However, the re-emergence of the American Dollar during this time has raised a lot of questions. For
India, a strong Dollar is not good news because as a floated currency, every
time the Dollar gains – the Rupee weakens.
In one single day many Indian investors
have lost nearly half their life savings….and they’re the lucky ones. Those who
invested as early as January this year at the peak of the Indian markets have
seen the value of their investment disappear by at least 80%.Many of them-retired
professionals had hoped to make the stock market the instrument that would
guide them through their old age. But young or old, everyone was a lot poorer
by the time the Bombay Stock Exchange closed early in the evening on Friday.
That was perhaps the only silver lining—that it was a Friday. The markets are
closed over the weekend. It’s as though the markets have been hit by a giant
meteorite and put into a dreadful tailspin.
The ‘BOTTOM’ is an important landmark in a downward stock market. In
the current period it is a commodity as sought after as hope or confidence. It
is important because it indicates the lowest point that a stock market‘s index
will hit. Once a bottom is reached there is no way but up for the index which
also means that if you invest at the bottom, your money will have no way to go
but up. The benchmark Sensex of the Indian stock market breached the 10,000
level and closed at the 9000 level for the first time in two years today. While it is
still difficult to say if we’ve hit the bottom, we can surely say we’re
somewhere close to it.