trends

The Rapid Rise To 18,600

When we last spoke about the Sensex in a post a few weeks ago titled ‘Time For 18 Again’ we had referred to the Sensex moving past 18,000 . Getting beyond 17,000 and moving into 18 was a challenge. The market had become range bound sort of hesitant to test the higher levels. For months we stagnated in the 17K levels which was also why we had termed it an electric fence. Once we moved into 18K, the question arose if we could sustain this level. The answer as of today has been that the Sensex has not only sustained 18K, it has now hovered into the 18,600 range. Buying has amped up and it’s fantastic to see the Nifty also doing well.

A Cautious Optimism Mode

There’s a famous quote known as Merkin’s Maxim which states “When In Doubt, Predict That The Trend Will Continue”. India’s Market Indices definitely seem to be following this Maxim. During the past few trading sessions the Sensex has breached the 17,000 level and the Nifty has also broken Five Thousand. While they have fallen back into the sub 17k level and sub 5k level respectively. The two psychological levels have become real factors. There is however a lot of doubt floating around in the market, it seems to have become the most important psychological determinant of trade in this particular range and period.Movement in the present range has become a two way street.

Nearing 17K-A Bullish Trend

At 16,741 the Sensex lies sixty points away from hitting sixteen thousand eight hundred. We are likely to see 16,800 sometime tomorrow. The level could have been easily breached today but no trading took place on the BSE since the markets were closed on account of Eid. The rally on the Indian markets has been tremendous since the month of May. Even September so far has not spooked the markets. More importantly we are a few sessions away from reaching the 17K level.

The rapid rise of the Sensex has been baffling but no one should complain because a Bull Run is a good thing.

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